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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
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1 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$24.8M

24h vol.

$193.192

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$43.2K

Liquidity

$348.1K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$5
1¢$95
1¢$100
1¢$100
1¢$2,307
1¢$1,874
1¢$14,776
0¢$10,050
0¢$4,004
0¢$110,274
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$15
2¢$10,000
2¢$10,498
2¢$10,000
2¢$32,626
2¢$4,160
2¢$4,210
2¢$8,844
2¢$172
3¢$3,525

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell99¢5
3 wk. agoSell2¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢0
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoSell99¢5
3 wk. agoSell2¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoSell99¢5
3 wk. agoSell2¢5
3 wk. agoBuy99¢5
3 wk. agoBuy1¢5
3 wk. agoBuy2¢730
3 wk. agoSell2¢140
3 wk. agoSell2¢590
3 wk. agoBuy2¢50
3 wk. agoBuy98¢50
3 wk. agoBuy2¢2,000
3 wk. agoSell2¢1,502
3 wk. agoSell2¢492
3 wk. agoBuy99¢6
3 wk. agoBuy1¢15,707
3 wk. agoSell1¢15,000
3 wk. agoBuy99¢6
3 wk. agoBuy99¢7
3 wk. agoSell1¢26
3 wk. agoSell1¢668
3 wk. agoBuy1¢626
3 wk. agoSell1¢626
3 wk. agoBuy1¢500
3 wk. agoSell1¢100
3 wk. agoSell1¢100
3 wk. agoSell1¢300
3 wk. agoBuy1¢320
3 wk. agoSell1¢100
3 wk. agoSell1¢100
3 wk. agoSell1¢100
3 wk. agoBuy99¢20
3 wk. agoBuy1¢239
3 wk. agoSell1¢100
3 wk. agoSell1¢100

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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