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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
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6 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$10.3M

24h vol.

$7K

1w vol.

$36.6K

1m vol.

$285K

Liquidity

$300.9K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 6¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$2,837
5¢$2,508
5¢$3,216
5¢$66
5¢$195
5¢$734
5¢$1,050
5¢$239,040
4¢$3,739
4¢$700
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$194
6¢$1,898
6¢$205
6¢$2,876
6¢$5,950
6¢$201
6¢$427
7¢$7,617
7¢$53,645
7¢$36

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✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 34%Sells 66%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoBuy6¢84
1 wk. agoBuy94¢65
1 wk. agoSell6¢19
1 wk. agoSell94¢100
1 wk. agoSell6¢80
1 wk. agoSell6¢20
1 wk. agoBuy95¢99
1 wk. agoSell95¢99
1 wk. agoSell6¢506
1 wk. agoSell95¢486
1 wk. agoBuy6¢20
1 wk. agoSell94¢100
1 wk. agoSell6¢80
1 wk. agoSell6¢20
1 wk. agoBuy95¢452
1 wk. agoSell95¢452
1 wk. agoBuy95¢100
1 wk. agoSell95¢80
1 wk. agoBuy6¢20
1 wk. agoSell94¢100
1 wk. agoSell6¢100
1 wk. agoBuy6¢17
1 wk. agoSell6¢17
1 wk. agoBuy95¢100
1 wk. agoSell95¢89
1 wk. agoBuy6¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢5
1 wk. agoSell6¢100
1 wk. agoSell94¢15
1 wk. agoBuy6¢1
1 wk. agoBuy6¢85
1 wk. agoBuy6¢100
1 wk. agoSell6¢100
1 wk. agoBuy94¢15
1 wk. agoBuy6¢15
1 wk. agoSell6¢590
1 wk. agoBuy6¢200
1 wk. agoBuy6¢291
1 wk. agoSell94¢5
1 wk. agoSell94¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢5
1 wk. agoSell94¢5
1 wk. agoSell94¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢5
1 wk. agoSell94¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢6
1 wk. agoSell94¢5
1 wk. agoSell94¢6

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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