Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 14 min. ago

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

3 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.2%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$11.1M

24h vol.

$47.8K

1w vol.

$179.4K

1m vol.

$422.3K

Liquidity

$687.9K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 3¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$7,403
3¢$26,074
2¢$24
2¢$1,465
2¢$2,045
2¢$1,021
2¢$3,657
2¢$4,057
2¢$7,050
2¢$31,020
Asks (sell)Size
3¢$38,868
3¢$37,824
3¢$51,361
3¢$42,227
3¢$4,392
3¢$7,000
3¢$7,000
4¢$10,750
4¢$10,000
4¢$11,000

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
31 min. agoSell3¢40
31 min. agoBuy3¢40
44 min. agoBuy3¢37
44 min. agoBuy97¢37
3 hr. agoBuy3¢130
3 hr. agoBuy97¢130
4 hr. agoBuy97¢31
4 hr. agoBuy3¢31
4 hr. agoBuy3¢40
4 hr. agoBuy97¢40
5 hr. agoBuy97¢5
5 hr. agoBuy3¢5
5 hr. agoBuy97¢5
5 hr. agoBuy3¢5
8 hr. agoBuy3¢38
8 hr. agoBuy97¢38
11 hr. agoSell97¢6
11 hr. agoSell3¢6
11 hr. agoBuy97¢6
11 hr. agoBuy3¢6
12 hr. agoBuy97¢6
12 hr. agoBuy3¢6
12 hr. agoBuy3¢40,876
12 hr. agoSell3¢18,000
12 hr. agoBuy97¢25
12 hr. agoBuy97¢218
12 hr. agoSell3¢22,633
12 hr. agoBuy3¢5,007
12 hr. agoBuy97¢123
12 hr. agoBuy97¢124
12 hr. agoBuy97¢124
12 hr. agoBuy97¢114
12 hr. agoBuy97¢114
12 hr. agoSell3¢4,407
13 hr. agoBuy3¢1,000
13 hr. agoSell3¢1,000
21 hr. agoBuy3¢185
21 hr. agoSell3¢185
23 hr. agoBuy3¢400
23 hr. agoSell3¢400
1 day agoBuy3¢357
1 day agoSell3¢357
1 day agoSell97¢1,078
1 day agoSell3¢1,078
1 day agoBuy3¢71
1 day agoSell3¢71
1 day agoBuy3¢17,857
1 day agoSell3¢17,857
2 days agoSell97¢29
2 days agoSell3¢29

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.