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Updated 4 days ago
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 %
chance
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
50 outcomes- Gavin Newsom16 %
- Jon Ossoff15 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15 %
- Kamala Harris7 %
- Josh Shapiro6 %
- Pete Buttigieg5 %
- Andy Beshear3 %
- James Talarico3 %
- Mark Kelly3 %
- Raphael Warnock2 %
- Wes Moore2 %
- Bernie Sanders2 %
- Rahm Emanuel2 %
- Ro Khanna1 %
- J.B. Pritzker1 %
- Chelsea Clinton1 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1 %
- Jon Stewart1 %
- Cory Booker1 %
- Gretchen Whitmer1 %
- Chris Van Hollen0 %
- Chris Murphy0 %
- Ruben Gallego0 %
- Michelle Obama0 %
- Roy Cooper0 %
- Mark Cuban0 %
- Hunter Biden0 %
- Josh Stein0 %
- Hillary Clinton0 %
- Phil Murphy0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Jared Polis0 %
- Mitch Landrieu0 %
- Stephen A. Smith0 %
- Elissa Slotkin0 %
- Abigail Spanberger0 %
- Barack Obama0 %
- Zohran Mamdani0 %
- Jasmine Crockett0 %
- Hakeem Jeffries0 %
- Gina Raimondo0 %
- Andrew Yang0 %
- Oprah Winfrey0 %
- John Fetterman0 %
- MrBeast0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Alex Padilla0 %
- Beto O’Rourke0 %
- Tim Walz0 %
- Adam Schiff0 %
Total volume
$12.2M
24h vol.
$482.11
1w vol.
$31K
1m vol.
$223K
Liquidity
$448.4K
Bid / Ask
5¢ / 5¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 8, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 23,022 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 260 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 2,222 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 245 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 269 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 278 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 18 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 19,730 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 7 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 239 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 239 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 67 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 16 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 51 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 3 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 526 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 526 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 26 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 26 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 586 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 239 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 238 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 109 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 490 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 392 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 98 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 6 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 95 |
| 6 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 95 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 6 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 6 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 6 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 6 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 95¢ | 158 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 153 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 5 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 95¢ | 158 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 4 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 154 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.