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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0 %
chance
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
50 outcomes- Gavin Newsom16 %
- Jon Ossoff15 %
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15 %
- Kamala Harris7 %
- Josh Shapiro6 %
- Pete Buttigieg5 %
- Andy Beshear3 %
- James Talarico3 %
- Mark Kelly3 %
- Raphael Warnock2 %
- Wes Moore2 %
- Bernie Sanders2 %
- Rahm Emanuel2 %
- Ro Khanna1 %
- J.B. Pritzker1 %
- Chelsea Clinton1 %
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1 %
- Jon Stewart1 %
- Cory Booker1 %
- Gretchen Whitmer1 %
- Chris Van Hollen0 %
- Chris Murphy0 %
- Ruben Gallego0 %
- Michelle Obama0 %
- Roy Cooper0 %
- Mark Cuban0 %
- Hunter Biden0 %
- Josh Stein0 %
- Hillary Clinton0 %
- Phil Murphy0 %
- LeBron James0 %
- Jared Polis0 %
- Mitch Landrieu0 %
- Stephen A. Smith0 %
- Elissa Slotkin0 %
- Abigail Spanberger0 %
- Barack Obama0 %
- Zohran Mamdani0 %
- Jasmine Crockett0 %
- Hakeem Jeffries0 %
- Gina Raimondo0 %
- Andrew Yang0 %
- Oprah Winfrey0 %
- John Fetterman0 %
- MrBeast0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Alex Padilla0 %
- Beto O’Rourke0 %
- Tim Walz0 %
- Adam Schiff0 %
Total volume
$27.5M
24h vol.
$944.492
1w vol.
$14.3K
1m vol.
$149K
Liquidity
$932.5K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 8, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 51 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 51 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 79 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 79 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 9 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 424 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 424 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 69,760 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6,131 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 48 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 59 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 53 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 11 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 28,822 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 23 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 19 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,143 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 7 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 27,999 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,320 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 183 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 183 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,126 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 350 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 15 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 96 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 70 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 49 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 26 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 201 |
◆ Smart money
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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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Related markets
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