Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 29 min. ago

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

15 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +0.9%24h▼ −0.8%1W
Yes 15¢No 85¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$13.5M

24h vol.

$39.8K

1w vol.

$147.6K

1m vol.

$522.9K

Liquidity

$287.3K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 15¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
15¢$1,378
15¢$50
15¢$370
15¢$70
14¢$100
14¢$66
14¢$2,513
14¢$547
14¢$2,910
14¢$210
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$3,052
15¢$5,200
16¢$50
16¢$370
16¢$5,055
16¢$54,061
16¢$420
16¢$5,334
16¢$4,000
16¢$1,857

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
60 min. agoBuy15¢392
60 min. agoSell15¢392
1 hr. agoSell15¢30
1 hr. agoBuy15¢11
1 hr. agoBuy15¢19
1 hr. agoSell15¢14
1 hr. agoBuy15¢14
1 hr. agoSell15¢0
1 hr. agoBuy15¢0
1 hr. agoBuy15¢13
1 hr. agoSell15¢13
1 hr. agoBuy15¢1,425
1 hr. agoBuy85¢33
1 hr. agoSell15¢1,392
1 hr. agoBuy15¢758
1 hr. agoSell15¢600
1 hr. agoSell15¢158
1 hr. agoBuy15¢8
1 hr. agoSell15¢8
2 hr. agoSell15¢32
2 hr. agoBuy15¢32
2 hr. agoBuy15¢7
2 hr. agoSell15¢7
4 hr. agoBuy15¢13
4 hr. agoSell15¢13
4 hr. agoBuy15¢98
4 hr. agoSell15¢98
4 hr. agoSell85¢116
4 hr. agoSell15¢116
4 hr. agoSell85¢128
4 hr. agoSell15¢128
4 hr. agoSell15¢36
4 hr. agoBuy15¢36
4 hr. agoBuy15¢5,877
4 hr. agoSell15¢3,555
4 hr. agoBuy85¢357
4 hr. agoBuy85¢116
4 hr. agoBuy85¢128
4 hr. agoBuy85¢18
4 hr. agoBuy85¢5
4 hr. agoBuy85¢5
4 hr. agoSell15¢1,693
4 hr. agoBuy15¢357
4 hr. agoSell15¢257
4 hr. agoBuy85¢100
4 hr. agoSell15¢0
4 hr. agoBuy15¢0
4 hr. agoBuy15¢7
4 hr. agoSell15¢7
5 hr. agoBuy85¢6

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.