Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$26.4M

24h vol.

$191.546

1w vol.

$6.4K

1m vol.

$54.5K

Liquidity

$2.1M

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$25,186
0¢$384,566
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$85,708
0¢$10,000
1¢$813
1¢$800
1¢$1,422
1¢$12,250
1¢$74,201
1¢$1,361
1¢$304,497
1¢$678

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy100¢1,669
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1,669
1 mo. agoSell100¢102
1 mo. agoSell0¢102
1 mo. agoSell100¢12
1 mo. agoSell0¢12
1 mo. agoSell0¢26,333
1 mo. agoBuy0¢13,399
1 mo. agoBuy0¢12,934
1 mo. agoSell100¢112
1 mo. agoSell0¢112
1 mo. agoBuy100¢112
1 mo. agoBuy0¢112
1 mo. agoBuy0¢7,000
1 mo. agoSell0¢6,336
1 mo. agoSell0¢664
1 mo. agoBuy0¢6,667
1 mo. agoSell0¢6,667
1 mo. agoBuy0¢12,667
1 mo. agoSell0¢12,667
1 mo. agoSell0¢77
1 mo. agoBuy0¢77
1 mo. agoSell100¢56
1 mo. agoSell0¢56
1 mo. agoSell100¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoSell100¢4
1 mo. agoSell0¢4
1 mo. agoSell100¢62
1 mo. agoSell0¢62
1 mo. agoBuy100¢62
1 mo. agoBuy0¢62
1 mo. agoSell0¢79
1 mo. agoBuy0¢79
1 mo. agoSell100¢34
1 mo. agoSell0¢34
1 mo. agoSell100¢8
1 mo. agoSell0¢8
1 mo. agoSell100¢23
1 mo. agoSell0¢23
1 mo. agoBuy100¢31
1 mo. agoBuy0¢31
1 mo. agoSell100¢75
1 mo. agoSell0¢75
1 mo. agoSell0¢115
1 mo. agoBuy0¢115
1 mo. agoBuy100¢96
1 mo. agoBuy0¢96
1 mo. agoBuy100¢54
1 mo. agoBuy0¢54

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.