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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$52.9M

24h vol.

$1.3K

1w vol.

$14.7K

1m vol.

$169.4K

Liquidity

$171.3K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$507
1¢$1,884
1¢$1,014
1¢$9,802
1¢$19,935
1¢$4,010
0¢$6,850
0¢$26,832
0¢$71,603
0¢$187,470
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$470
3¢$5
3¢$5
3¢$5
3¢$5
3¢$5
3¢$5
3¢$5
4¢$5
4¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 wk. agoSell98¢0
1 wk. agoBuy98¢0
1 wk. agoSell98¢1
1 wk. agoBuy98¢1
1 wk. agoBuy98¢2
1 wk. agoBuy2¢2
1 wk. agoSell98¢14
1 wk. agoBuy98¢14
1 wk. agoBuy98¢14
1 wk. agoBuy2¢14
1 wk. agoSell2¢10
1 wk. agoBuy2¢10
1 wk. agoSell97¢2
1 wk. agoBuy97¢2
1 wk. agoBuy99¢2
1 wk. agoBuy1¢2
1 wk. agoSell97¢12
1 wk. agoBuy97¢12
1 wk. agoBuy98¢12
1 wk. agoBuy2¢12
1 wk. agoSell97¢6
1 wk. agoBuy97¢6
1 wk. agoSell97¢14
1 wk. agoBuy97¢8
1 wk. agoSell3¢6
1 wk. agoBuy98¢14
1 wk. agoBuy2¢14
1 wk. agoBuy3¢19,915
1 wk. agoBuy96¢1,303
1 wk. agoSell4¢600
1 wk. agoBuy96¢3,000
1 wk. agoBuy97¢675
1 wk. agoBuy97¢3,000
1 wk. agoBuy97¢675
1 wk. agoBuy97¢1,500
1 wk. agoBuy97¢5
1 wk. agoBuy97¢5
1 wk. agoBuy97¢5
1 wk. agoSell3¢123
1 wk. agoBuy97¢5
1 wk. agoBuy97¢277
1 wk. agoSell3¢18
1 wk. agoSell3¢10
1 wk. agoBuy97¢5
1 wk. agoBuy98¢297
1 wk. agoBuy98¢5
1 wk. agoBuy98¢7
1 wk. agoBuy98¢5
1 wk. agoBuy98¢5
1 wk. agoBuy98¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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