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Updated 14 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

3 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −11.4%24h▼ −7.9%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢
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Market brief

  • At 3%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 7.8 pp over the past week (−11.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 21% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 11 buys, 39 sells; the largest was $196 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
See all 22 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$50.8K

24h vol.

$26K

Liquidity

$9.3K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$50.2K

1m vol.

$50.8K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$102
2¢$962
2¢$40
2¢$210
2¢$300
2¢$31,146
2¢$1,618
1¢$60
1¢$10
1¢$1,250
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$35
3¢$1,196
3¢$107
3¢$72
3¢$78
4¢$63
4¢$682
4¢$426
4¢$100
4¢$82

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 47%Sells 53%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
20 min. agoBuy2¢38
21 min. agoSell2¢62
30 min. agoSell2¢200
44 min. agoBuy3¢42
51 min. agoSell2¢20
1 hr. agoSell3¢5
1 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoBuy3¢13
2 hr. agoBuy3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoBuy3¢90
2 hr. agoSell3¢29
2 hr. agoBuy3¢68
2 hr. agoSell2¢6
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢6
2 hr. agoSell2¢7
2 hr. agoSell2¢6
2 hr. agoSell3¢6
2 hr. agoSell3¢6
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢6
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoSell3¢7
2 hr. agoSell3¢5
2 hr. agoSell3¢25
2 hr. agoBuy3¢261
2 hr. agoBuy3¢53
2 hr. agoSell2¢72
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy3¢46
2 hr. agoSell2¢20
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
3 hr. agoSell2¢60
3 hr. agoSell2¢29
3 hr. agoSell2¢5
3 hr. agoSell2¢5
3 hr. agoSell2¢19
3 hr. agoSell3¢5
3 hr. agoBuy3¢55
3 hr. agoBuy3¢37
3 hr. agoSell3¢34
3 hr. agoSell3¢81
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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