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Updated 14 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −2.2%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 6 buys, 44 sells; the largest was $192 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$36.3K

24h vol.

$14.2K

Liquidity

$8.6K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$36K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,045
0¢$65
0¢$81
0¢$112
1¢$26
1¢$25
1¢$20
1¢$111
1¢$115
2¢$313

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 7%Sells 93%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
49 min. agoBuy0¢20
3 hr. agoBuy0¢134
3 hr. agoBuy0¢192
7 hr. agoBuy0¢162
7 hr. agoSell0¢256
8 hr. agoSell0¢14
8 hr. agoSell0¢949
8 hr. agoSell0¢25
8 hr. agoSell0¢89
9 hr. agoSell0¢46
9 hr. agoSell0¢200
9 hr. agoBuy0¢73
9 hr. agoSell0¢45
9 hr. agoSell0¢28
9 hr. agoSell0¢888
9 hr. agoSell0¢89
10 hr. agoSell0¢100
10 hr. agoSell0¢100
11 hr. agoSell0¢200
11 hr. agoSell0¢100
11 hr. agoSell0¢2,894
12 hr. agoSell0¢100
12 hr. agoSell0¢100
12 hr. agoSell0¢500
13 hr. agoSell0¢100
13 hr. agoSell0¢676
13 hr. agoSell0¢100
14 hr. agoSell0¢100
14 hr. agoSell0¢15
14 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoBuy0¢182
15 hr. agoSell0¢57
15 hr. agoSell0¢125
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
15 hr. agoSell0¢78
15 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
16 hr. agoSell0¢974
16 hr. agoSell0¢19
16 hr. agoSell0¢16
16 hr. agoSell0¢17
16 hr. agoSell0¢15
16 hr. agoSell0¢100
17 hr. agoSell0¢109
17 hr. agoSell0¢76
17 hr. agoSell0¢20
17 hr. agoSell0¢61
17 hr. agoSell0¢125
17 hr. agoSell0¢75
17 hr. agoSell0¢100
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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