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Updated 44 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

16 %

chance

▼ −2.5%1h▼ −6.5%24h▲ +6.5%1W
Yes 16¢No 84¢
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Market brief

  • Up 6.5 pp over the past week (−6.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 26% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $470 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 28% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (162 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$50.5K

24h vol.

$28.7K

Liquidity

$9.5K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$50K

1m vol.

$50.5K

Bid / Ask

15¢ / 17¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

17¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
16¢$234
15¢$1,454
14¢$2,134
13¢$131
12¢$417
11¢$18,805
10¢$1,110
9¢$301
8¢$356
7¢$529
Asks (sell)Size
17¢$105
18¢$884
19¢$374
20¢$498
21¢$134
22¢$175
23¢$137
24¢$9
25¢$196
26¢$223

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 59%Sells 41%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
50 min. agoSell16¢20
1 hr. agoBuy19¢65
1 hr. agoBuy18¢133
1 hr. agoSell17¢2
1 hr. agoBuy18¢10
1 hr. agoSell18¢228
2 hr. agoBuy20¢591
2 hr. agoBuy19¢17
2 hr. agoBuy19¢24
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoSell17¢5
2 hr. agoBuy18¢200
2 hr. agoBuy17¢25
2 hr. agoBuy17¢26
2 hr. agoSell16¢5
2 hr. agoSell16¢5
2 hr. agoSell16¢5
2 hr. agoSell16¢5
2 hr. agoSell16¢5
2 hr. agoSell16¢20
2 hr. agoSell16¢100
3 hr. agoBuy18¢45
3 hr. agoBuy18¢6
3 hr. agoBuy17¢10
3 hr. agoBuy17¢70
3 hr. agoSell17¢25
3 hr. agoBuy18¢55
3 hr. agoSell15¢34
3 hr. agoSell15¢41
3 hr. agoSell15¢20
3 hr. agoBuy18¢17
3 hr. agoSell17¢200
3 hr. agoSell16¢68
3 hr. agoSell17¢6
3 hr. agoSell17¢5
3 hr. agoSell17¢9
3 hr. agoSell17¢6
3 hr. agoSell17¢7
3 hr. agoSell17¢5
3 hr. agoSell17¢5
3 hr. agoSell17¢7
3 hr. agoSell17¢5
3 hr. agoSell17¢8
3 hr. agoSell17¢6
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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