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Updated 3 hr. ago

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 2 buys, 48 sells; the largest was $1.55K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$36.7K

24h vol.

$7.2K

Liquidity

$6.9K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$36.6K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,606
0¢$113
0¢$113
0¢$380
1¢$443
1¢$20
1¢$20
1¢$5
1¢$151
1¢$211

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 6%Sells 94%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
9 hr. agoBuy0¢1,071
22 hr. agoBuy0¢41
23 hr. agoSell0¢6
24 hr. agoSell0¢7
24 hr. agoSell0¢6
24 hr. agoSell0¢250
24 hr. agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢1,017
1 day agoSell0¢200
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢1,001
1 day agoSell0¢10
1 day agoSell0¢150
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢600
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢30
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢160
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢650
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢576
1 day agoSell0¢21
1 day agoSell0¢416
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢3,412
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢603
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢200
1 day agoSell0¢120
2 days agoSell0¢26
2 days agoSell0¢267
2 days agoSell0¢1,403
2 days agoSell0¢1,551
2 days agoSell0¢504
2 days agoSell0¢1,071
2 days agoSell0¢709
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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