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Updated 29 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

1 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −2.3%24h▼ −8.9%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 8.8 pp over the past week (−2.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 11% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 8 buys, 42 sells; the largest was $1.31K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
See all 22 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$38.6K

24h vol.

$17K

Liquidity

$8K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$36.1K

1m vol.

$38.6K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$2,299
0¢$1,433
0¢$390
0¢$41,919
0¢$14,533
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$141
1¢$228
1¢$17
1¢$310
1¢$94
1¢$379
1¢$8
1¢$13
2¢$18
2¢$18

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 41%Sells 59%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
31 min. agoSell1¢100
57 min. agoSell1¢5
57 min. agoSell1¢150
59 min. agoSell1¢5
1 hr. agoSell1¢5
1 hr. agoSell1¢5
1 hr. agoSell1¢5
1 hr. agoSell1¢6
1 hr. agoBuy1¢1
1 hr. agoBuy1¢17
1 hr. agoBuy1¢150
2 hr. agoBuy1¢600
2 hr. agoBuy1¢87
2 hr. agoSell0¢10
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell0¢5
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell0¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢40
2 hr. agoBuy0¢356
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢7
2 hr. agoSell0¢100
2 hr. agoSell0¢121
2 hr. agoSell0¢101
2 hr. agoSell0¢1,315
2 hr. agoBuy0¢23
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢150
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy1¢331
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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