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Updated 29 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.5%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 4.5 pp over the past week, after touching 5% on Nov 4, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 2 buys, 48 sells; the largest was $8.06K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$42.9K

24h vol.

$24.4K

Liquidity

$13.3K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$41.7K

1m vol.

$42.9K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$25
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$3,159
0¢$134
0¢$14
1¢$293
1¢$40
1¢$195
1¢$3,894
1¢$200
2¢$69
2¢$218

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 3%Sells 97%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
56 min. agoSell0¢100
1 hr. agoBuy0¢41
2 hr. agoBuy0¢373
2 hr. agoSell0¢150
2 hr. agoSell0¢1,377
2 hr. agoSell0¢8,070
2 hr. agoSell0¢100
2 hr. agoSell0¢100
3 hr. agoSell0¢100
3 hr. agoSell0¢34
3 hr. agoSell0¢9
3 hr. agoSell0¢50
3 hr. agoSell0¢50
3 hr. agoSell0¢10
3 hr. agoSell0¢30
3 hr. agoSell0¢10
3 hr. agoSell0¢400
3 hr. agoSell0¢10
3 hr. agoSell0¢6
3 hr. agoSell0¢5
3 hr. agoSell0¢7
3 hr. agoSell0¢15
3 hr. agoSell0¢1,172
4 hr. agoSell0¢100
4 hr. agoSell0¢30
4 hr. agoSell0¢9
4 hr. agoSell0¢30
4 hr. agoSell0¢10
4 hr. agoSell0¢50
4 hr. agoSell0¢10
4 hr. agoSell0¢30
4 hr. agoSell0¢20
4 hr. agoSell0¢5
4 hr. agoSell0¢5
4 hr. agoSell0¢5
4 hr. agoSell0¢5
4 hr. agoSell0¢9
4 hr. agoSell0¢10
4 hr. agoSell0¢110
4 hr. agoSell0¢6
4 hr. agoSell0¢10
4 hr. agoSell0¢10
4 hr. agoSell0¢20
4 hr. agoSell0¢26
4 hr. agoSell0¢57
4 hr. agoSell0¢97
4 hr. agoSell0¢30
4 hr. agoSell0¢5
4 hr. agoSell0¢6
4 hr. agoSell0¢11
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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