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Updated 29 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

6 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −18.0%24h▼ −7.0%1W
Yes 6¢No 95¢
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Market brief

  • Down 7.0 pp over the past week (−18.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 24% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 17 buys, 33 sells; the largest was $122 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 12% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (133 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$67.2K

24h vol.

$34.3K

Liquidity

$11.3K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$66K

1m vol.

$67.2K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$238
4¢$33,558
3¢$718
2¢$2,446
1¢$1,340
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$25
7¢$982
8¢$219
9¢$489
10¢$695
11¢$158
12¢$272
13¢$453
14¢$416
15¢$691

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 21%Sells 79%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
38 min. agoSell5¢2,500
39 min. agoBuy7¢27
39 min. agoBuy7¢25
47 min. agoBuy7¢54
49 min. agoBuy7¢30
50 min. agoSell6¢20
1 hr. agoSell7¢30
1 hr. agoBuy7¢75
1 hr. agoSell7¢110
1 hr. agoSell7¢105
1 hr. agoSell7¢17
1 hr. agoSell8¢8
2 hr. agoBuy8¢30
2 hr. agoSell7¢5
2 hr. agoSell7¢5
2 hr. agoSell7¢5
2 hr. agoSell7¢7
2 hr. agoBuy8¢13
2 hr. agoBuy8¢13
2 hr. agoSell7¢7
2 hr. agoBuy8¢13
2 hr. agoSell7¢7
2 hr. agoBuy8¢50
2 hr. agoBuy7¢67
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoBuy6¢33
2 hr. agoSell5¢8
2 hr. agoSell5¢34
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢6
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢7
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell6¢23
2 hr. agoBuy6¢20
2 hr. agoSell5¢6
2 hr. agoSell5¢6
2 hr. agoBuy6¢246
2 hr. agoBuy6¢32
2 hr. agoBuy6¢19
2 hr. agoBuy6¢40
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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