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Updated 2 days ago

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.9%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 2 buys, 48 sells; the largest was $655 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$21.3K

24h vol.

$911.01

Liquidity

$9.9K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$20.9K

1m vol.

$21.3K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,595
0¢$526
0¢$35
1¢$178
1¢$214
1¢$20
1¢$200
1¢$150
1¢$357
2¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 9%Sells 91%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell0¢656
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢100
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢100
2 days agoSell0¢13
2 days agoSell0¢6
2 days agoBuy0¢932
2 days agoSell0¢300
2 days agoSell0¢100
2 days agoBuy0¢265
2 days agoSell0¢150
2 days agoSell0¢156
2 days agoSell0¢131
2 days agoSell0¢25
2 days agoSell0¢50
2 days agoSell0¢99
2 days agoSell0¢56
2 days agoSell0¢100
2 days agoSell0¢76
2 days agoSell0¢256
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢355
3 days agoSell0¢1,001
3 days agoSell0¢1
3 days agoSell0¢30
3 days agoSell0¢61
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢3,799
3 days agoSell0¢300
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢200
3 days agoSell0¢400
3 days agoSell0¢400
3 days agoSell0¢22
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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