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Updated 29 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −5.3%24h▼ −10.3%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 10.3 pp over the past week (−5.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 17% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 10 buys, 40 sells; the largest was $164 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$37.5K

24h vol.

$17.5K

Liquidity

$7.8K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$35.4K

1m vol.

$37.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$132
1¢$110
1¢$10
1¢$801
1¢$215
1¢$35,033
1¢$4,827
0¢$4,116
0¢$6,780
0¢$5,561
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$25
2¢$153
2¢$175
2¢$10
2¢$5
2¢$62
2¢$5
3¢$226
3¢$100
3¢$91

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
52 min. agoSell1¢30
57 min. agoSell1¢150
1 hr. agoSell2¢7
1 hr. agoBuy2¢66
2 hr. agoSell2¢6
2 hr. agoSell2¢7
2 hr. agoSell2¢27
2 hr. agoBuy1¢10
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy1¢86
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy1¢153
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢7
2 hr. agoSell1¢7
2 hr. agoSell1¢6
2 hr. agoSell1¢18
2 hr. agoBuy2¢166
2 hr. agoBuy1¢88
2 hr. agoSell1¢72
3 hr. agoSell1¢105
3 hr. agoSell1¢166
3 hr. agoSell1¢5
3 hr. agoSell1¢7
3 hr. agoSell1¢7
3 hr. agoSell1¢6
3 hr. agoBuy2¢81
3 hr. agoBuy2¢64
3 hr. agoSell1¢34
3 hr. agoBuy2¢569
3 hr. agoSell1¢200
3 hr. agoSell1¢5
3 hr. agoSell1¢6
3 hr. agoSell1¢5
3 hr. agoSell1¢9
3 hr. agoSell1¢9
3 hr. agoSell1¢8
3 hr. agoSell1¢8
3 hr. agoSell1¢10
3 hr. agoBuy2¢92
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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