Skip to content

← Politics odds

Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Watch this market

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 7 buys, 43 sells; the largest was $595 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (823 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
See all 22 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$36.5K

24h vol.

$119.62

Liquidity

$9.5K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$35.5K

1m vol.

$36.5K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$2,256
0¢$145
0¢$483
0¢$423
1¢$25
1¢$20
1¢$20
1¢$186
1¢$250
2¢$333

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 31%Sells 69%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy0¢110
1 day agoSell0¢596
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢100
2 days agoSell0¢5
2 days agoSell0¢849
2 days agoSell0¢819
2 days agoSell0¢1,234
2 days agoSell0¢6
2 days agoSell0¢100
2 days agoSell0¢512
2 days agoSell0¢100
2 days agoBuy1¢350
2 days agoBuy0¢7
2 days agoSell1¢54
2 days agoBuy1¢1,146
2 days agoBuy0¢550
2 days agoSell0¢200
2 days agoSell0¢13
2 days agoSell0¢6
2 days agoBuy0¢601
2 days agoBuy0¢778
3 days agoSell0¢56
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢196
3 days agoSell0¢256
3 days agoSell0¢256
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢256
3 days agoSell0¢34
3 days agoSell0¢131
3 days agoSell0¢69
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢100
3 days agoSell0¢208
3 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢38
4 days agoSell0¢75
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢100
4 days agoSell0¢200
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

Related markets

Open Politics markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.

More around this market