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Updated 29 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

26 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +8.3%24h▲ +17.5%1W
Yes 26¢No 74¢
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Market brief

  • Up 17.5 pp over the past week (+8.3 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 4% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 27 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $145 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 28% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (162 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$54.2K

24h vol.

$24K

Liquidity

$7.3K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$53.8K

Bid / Ask

26¢ / 26¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

27¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
25¢$29
25¢$5
24¢$5
24¢$11
24¢$16
24¢$5
24¢$61
24¢$100
24¢$6
24¢$12
Asks (sell)Size
25¢$357
26¢$6
26¢$5
27¢$11
27¢$7
27¢$105
27¢$10
27¢$5
28¢$61
28¢$5

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 41%Sells 59%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
31 min. agoSell25¢23
34 min. agoSell26¢161
36 min. agoSell26¢11
41 min. agoBuy27¢56
43 min. agoSell26¢67
43 min. agoSell25¢14
51 min. agoBuy27¢50
1 hr. agoBuy26¢16
1 hr. agoSell26¢3
1 hr. agoSell26¢38
1 hr. agoSell26¢40
1 hr. agoSell27¢100
1 hr. agoBuy27¢8
1 hr. agoSell27¢6
1 hr. agoSell27¢7
1 hr. agoBuy27¢547
1 hr. agoBuy25¢5
2 hr. agoBuy25¢24
2 hr. agoBuy25¢70
2 hr. agoBuy25¢5
2 hr. agoBuy24¢29
2 hr. agoSell24¢100
2 hr. agoSell25¢17
2 hr. agoBuy25¢5
2 hr. agoBuy25¢149
2 hr. agoBuy24¢42
2 hr. agoBuy24¢10
2 hr. agoSell23¢268
2 hr. agoSell24¢20
3 hr. agoBuy24¢7
3 hr. agoBuy24¢46
3 hr. agoBuy24¢15
3 hr. agoBuy24¢4
3 hr. agoBuy24¢5
3 hr. agoBuy24¢8
3 hr. agoBuy24¢65
3 hr. agoBuy24¢11
3 hr. agoSell23¢100
3 hr. agoBuy24¢19
3 hr. agoBuy24¢5
3 hr. agoBuy24¢34
3 hr. agoSell24¢100
3 hr. agoBuy25¢15
3 hr. agoSell24¢200
3 hr. agoSell24¢20
3 hr. agoSell24¢300
3 hr. agoSell25¢20
3 hr. agoSell25¢100
3 hr. agoSell25¢61
3 hr. agoBuy26¢4
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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