Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? odds
14 independent outcomes · $67.2K traded · updated 6 hr. ago
Resolves Dec 1, 2026
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Rodri99 %▲ +10.2%$8.8K
- Harry Kane95 %▼ −0.4%$4.5K
- Ousmane Dembélé95 %▲ +0.3%$4.5K
- Lamine Yamal94 %▲ +0.1%$1.4K
- David Beckham77 %▲ +0.5%$835.348
- Kylian Mbappé75 %▲ +6.5%$2.5K
- Michael Owen73 %▲ +12.0%$1.2K
- Lionel Messi49 %▲ +14.0%$7.1K
- Zinedine Zidane36 %▲ +4.0%$5.4K
- Kaka33 %▲ +6.0%$4.2K
- Sergio Ramos30 %▲ +3.5%$6.9K
- Xavi Hernandez29 %▲ +8.5%$4.6K
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Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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