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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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92 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.5%1W
Yes 92¢No 8¢

Total volume

$35.2K

24h vol.

$81.91

1w vol.

$181.91

1m vol.

$2.8K

Liquidity

$19.9K

Bid / Ask

91¢ / 93¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

91¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
88¢$130
87¢$666
86¢$210
85¢$44
83¢$113
82¢$500
81¢$225
80¢$1,000
77¢$100
76¢$450
Asks (sell)Size
90¢$51
91¢$39
92¢$203
93¢$837
94¢$3,952
95¢$16,200
99¢$64

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy91¢11
1 mo. agoBuy9¢11
1 mo. agoSell90¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢0
1 mo. agoSell90¢5
1 mo. agoBuy90¢5
1 mo. agoSell90¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢84
1 mo. agoSell90¢15
1 mo. agoSell90¢60
1 mo. agoSell90¢9
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoSell12¢0
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoSell12¢0
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoSell12¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢6
1 mo. agoSell90¢6
1 mo. agoBuy89¢100
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy11¢50
1 mo. agoBuy89¢6
1 mo. agoBuy11¢6
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢20
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢17
1 mo. agoSell90¢11
1 mo. agoSell89¢6
1 mo. agoSell88¢1
1 mo. agoBuy88¢1
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢110
1 mo. agoSell90¢110
1 mo. agoSell88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy88¢0
1 mo. agoBuy90¢3
1 mo. agoSell90¢3

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