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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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69 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −8.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 69¢No 31¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$3.2K

24h vol.

$131.319

1w vol.

$196.789

1m vol.

$984.542

Liquidity

$519.969

Bid / Ask

66¢ / 72¢

Spread 6¢

Last trade

83¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 11¢
Bids (buy)Size
57¢$50
55¢$72
53¢$23
50¢$50
40¢$50
30¢$100
17¢$20
2¢$64
Asks (sell)Size
68¢$50
69¢$60
80¢$25
89¢$5
90¢$51
96¢$7
97¢$27
99¢$19

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy41¢5
1 mo. agoBuy59¢169
1 mo. agoBuy41¢169
1 mo. agoSell56¢100
1 mo. agoBuy56¢100
1 mo. agoSell41¢19
1 mo. agoBuy41¢19
1 mo. agoBuy58¢207
1 mo. agoBuy42¢19
1 mo. agoSell58¢20
1 mo. agoSell58¢67
1 mo. agoSell58¢101
1 mo. agoSell42¢4
1 mo. agoSell58¢4
1 mo. agoSell43¢4
1 mo. agoBuy43¢4
1 mo. agoBuy58¢34
1 mo. agoSell58¢34
1 mo. agoSell43¢5
1 mo. agoBuy43¢5
2 mo. agoBuy45¢22
2 mo. agoBuy55¢22
2 mo. agoSell55¢16
2 mo. agoBuy55¢6
2 mo. agoSell45¢10
2 mo. agoSell42¢2
2 mo. agoSell58¢2
2 mo. agoSell42¢16
2 mo. agoSell58¢16
2 mo. agoSell43¢23
2 mo. agoBuy43¢23
2 mo. agoBuy57¢10
2 mo. agoBuy43¢10
2 mo. agoBuy56¢10
2 mo. agoBuy44¢10
2 mo. agoBuy42¢52
2 mo. agoBuy58¢52
2 mo. agoSell59¢22
2 mo. agoBuy59¢22
3 mo. agoSell53¢3
3 mo. agoBuy53¢3
3 mo. agoBuy44¢5
3 mo. agoBuy56¢5
3 mo. agoBuy43¢20
3 mo. agoBuy57¢20
3 mo. agoBuy41¢241
3 mo. agoBuy51¢49
3 mo. agoBuy60¢80
3 mo. agoBuy60¢30

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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