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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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81 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▼ −1.5%24h▲ +3.0%1W
Yes 81¢No 19¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$19.9K

24h vol.

$9.761

1w vol.

$170.13

1m vol.

$5.5K

Liquidity

$10.9K

Bid / Ask

79¢ / 83¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

80¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
84¢$219
77¢$95
74¢$29
73¢$27
69¢$100
62¢$50
61¢$10
60¢$6
56¢$23
55¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
85¢$110
88¢$40
89¢$24
90¢$85
92¢$38
93¢$171
95¢$85
99¢$689

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 63%Sells 37%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy15¢206
1 mo. agoBuy84¢81
1 mo. agoBuy85¢55
1 mo. agoSell15¢65
1 mo. agoSell15¢1
1 mo. agoBuy86¢5
1 mo. agoBuy15¢75
1 mo. agoSell15¢36
1 mo. agoSell15¢37
1 mo. agoSell14¢3
1 mo. agoBuy13¢30
1 mo. agoSell14¢13
1 mo. agoSell13¢17
1 mo. agoBuy90¢175
1 mo. agoSell90¢48
1 mo. agoSell90¢127
1 mo. agoBuy87¢114
1 mo. agoSell90¢23
1 mo. agoBuy11¢15
1 mo. agoBuy12¢6
1 mo. agoSell87¢16
1 mo. agoBuy14¢55
1 mo. agoBuy85¢35
1 mo. agoSell87¢3
1 mo. agoSell87¢9
1 mo. agoSell86¢5
1 mo. agoBuy16¢18
1 mo. agoBuy85¢29
1 mo. agoBuy15¢29
1 mo. agoBuy83¢60
1 mo. agoBuy16¢36
1 mo. agoSell81¢24
1 mo. agoBuy21¢201
1 mo. agoBuy79¢72
1 mo. agoSell21¢100
1 mo. agoBuy79¢5
1 mo. agoBuy80¢24
1 mo. agoBuy81¢23
1 mo. agoSell81¢17
1 mo. agoSell81¢6
1 mo. agoBuy21¢6
1 mo. agoBuy79¢6
1 mo. agoBuy19¢21
1 mo. agoBuy81¢21
1 mo. agoBuy20¢12
1 mo. agoSell22¢1
1 mo. agoSell20¢11
1 mo. agoSell17¢307
1 mo. agoBuy16¢77
1 mo. agoBuy17¢10

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