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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
85 %
chance
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
46 outcomes- Jean-Luc Mélenchon94 %
- Marine Le Pen92 %
- Nathalie Arthaud87 %
- Fabien Roussel85 %
- Édouard Philippe85 %
- Raphaël Glucksmann84 %
- Éric Zemmour81 %
- David Lisnard78 %
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan69 %
- Bruno Retailleau58 %
- Dominique de Villepin31 %
- Marine Tondelier31 %
- François Hollande28 %
- Gabriel Attal27 %
- François Ruffin20 %
- Sarah Knafo18 %
- François Asselineau12 %
- Delphine Batho10 %
- Jordan Bardella8 %
- Xavier Bertrand7 %
- Élisabeth Borne7 %
- Juan Branco7 %
- Michel Barnier6 %
- Yaël Braun-Pivet6 %
- Jean-Michel Fauvergue6 %
- Olivier Faure6 %
- Teddy Riner6 %
- Bernard Cazeneuve6 %
- Jean Castex5 %
- Carole Delga5 %
- Sébastien Lecornu5 %
- François Bayrou5 %
- Matthieu Pigasse5 %
- Manuel Bompard5 %
- Karim Bouamrane5 %
- Philippe de Villiers5 %
- Michel-Edouard Leclerc5 %
- Mathilde Panot4 %
- Jérôme Guedj4 %
- Manuel Valls4 %
- Valérie Pécresse4 %
- Gérald Darmanin4 %
- Bally Bagayoko3 %
- Laurent Wauquiez3 %
- Ségolène Royal3 %
- Clémentine Autain3 %
Total volume
$4.8K
24h vol.
$6.25
1w vol.
$78.41
1m vol.
$188.698
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
83¢ / 87¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
82¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 123 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 108 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 36 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 128 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 108 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 54 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 24¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 76¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 82¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 63 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 3 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 90 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 90 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 126 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 91 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
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