Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

85 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 85¢No 16¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$21.4K

24h vol.

$5.556

1w vol.

$959.425

1m vol.

$3.6K

Liquidity

$14.2K

Bid / Ask

82¢ / 87¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

86¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
84¢$119
83¢$162
82¢$22
80¢$571
78¢$200
76¢$195
75¢$868
74¢$81
68¢$400
56¢$125
Asks (sell)Size
86¢$100
87¢$85
88¢$82
89¢$278
90¢$5
91¢$35
92¢$333
93¢$790
94¢$130
96¢$320

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell84¢30
1 mo. agoSell16¢30
1 mo. agoBuy85¢58
1 mo. agoBuy14¢1
1 mo. agoBuy14¢27
1 mo. agoBuy15¢30
1 mo. agoSell84¢46
1 mo. agoSell17¢16
1 mo. agoSell16¢30
1 mo. agoBuy86¢58
1 mo. agoSell87¢14
1 mo. agoBuy14¢30
1 mo. agoSell85¢9
1 mo. agoBuy16¢5
1 mo. agoBuy82¢6
1 mo. agoSell82¢6
1 mo. agoBuy82¢12
1 mo. agoSell82¢12
1 mo. agoBuy85¢18
1 mo. agoSell85¢13
1 mo. agoBuy16¢5
1 mo. agoBuy84¢36
1 mo. agoSell86¢16
1 mo. agoSell83¢20
1 mo. agoSell82¢2
1 mo. agoSell18¢2
1 mo. agoBuy83¢22
1 mo. agoBuy17¢22
1 mo. agoSell17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20
1 mo. agoBuy83¢79
1 mo. agoBuy17¢79
1 mo. agoBuy80¢46
1 mo. agoBuy20¢20
1 mo. agoSell80¢10
1 mo. agoSell80¢16
1 mo. agoSell79¢2
1 mo. agoBuy79¢2
1 mo. agoBuy80¢25
1 mo. agoSell80¢10
1 mo. agoSell80¢15
1 mo. agoSell79¢58
1 mo. agoBuy79¢58
1 mo. agoBuy80¢25
1 mo. agoSell80¢25
1 mo. agoBuy22¢18
1 mo. agoBuy78¢18
1 mo. agoSell80¢54
1 mo. agoSell20¢14
1 mo. agoBuy80¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.