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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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20 %

chance

▼ −2.5%1h▲ +1.0%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 20¢No 80¢

Total volume

$3.5K

24h vol.

$6.098

1w vol.

$728.472

1m vol.

$1K

Liquidity

$11.2K

Bid / Ask

18¢ / 22¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

18¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
23¢$175
22¢$73
20¢$10
19¢$50
11¢$68
10¢$300
4¢$21
3¢$67
2¢$119
1¢$509
Asks (sell)Size
27¢$165
28¢$50
30¢$50
34¢$16
35¢$25
37¢$200
40¢$18
41¢$20
97¢$13
98¢$19

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 63%Sells 37%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy72¢10
1 mo. agoSell72¢10
1 mo. agoSell25¢20
1 mo. agoSell77¢5
1 mo. agoBuy25¢15
1 mo. agoSell69¢7
1 mo. agoBuy69¢7
1 mo. agoBuy75¢7
1 mo. agoBuy25¢7
1 mo. agoBuy26¢7
1 mo. agoBuy74¢7
1 mo. agoBuy70¢20
1 mo. agoSell70¢20
1 mo. agoSell33¢20
1 mo. agoBuy33¢20
1 mo. agoSell34¢41
1 mo. agoBuy34¢41
1 mo. agoBuy64¢108
1 mo. agoBuy35¢20
1 mo. agoSell65¢7
1 mo. agoBuy36¢41
1 mo. agoSell64¢20
1 mo. agoSell64¢20
1 mo. agoBuy65¢2
1 mo. agoSell65¢2
1 mo. agoSell64¢20
1 mo. agoBuy64¢20
1 mo. agoSell61¢2
1 mo. agoBuy61¢2
1 mo. agoBuy65¢31
1 mo. agoSell65¢31
2 mo. agoBuy66¢3
2 mo. agoSell66¢3
2 mo. agoBuy66¢3
2 mo. agoSell66¢3
2 mo. agoBuy35¢20
2 mo. agoBuy65¢20
2 mo. agoSell68¢13
2 mo. agoBuy68¢13
2 mo. agoSell67¢13
2 mo. agoBuy67¢13
2 mo. agoBuy69¢14
2 mo. agoSell69¢14
2 mo. agoBuy34¢11
2 mo. agoBuy66¢1
2 mo. agoBuy66¢10
2 mo. agoSell66¢11
2 mo. agoBuy66¢11
2 mo. agoSell65¢11
2 mo. agoBuy65¢11

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.