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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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18 %

chance

▲ +1.5%1h▲ +3.0%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 18¢No 82¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$39.2K

24h vol.

$50.01

1w vol.

$792.115

1m vol.

$7.2K

Liquidity

$11.1K

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 20¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

16¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$55
5¢$50
4¢$286
3¢$1,002
2¢$5,534
1¢$24,324
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$1,050
12¢$108
14¢$26
15¢$54
20¢$20
36¢$185
37¢$822
40¢$55
41¢$62
42¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy92¢90
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoBuy8¢5
1 mo. agoBuy8¢5
1 mo. agoBuy9¢30
1 mo. agoBuy91¢55
1 mo. agoBuy9¢18
1 mo. agoSell91¢37
1 mo. agoBuy91¢110
1 mo. agoSell91¢95
1 mo. agoBuy9¢5
1 mo. agoBuy10¢10
1 mo. agoBuy90¢106
1 mo. agoBuy10¢56
1 mo. agoBuy10¢50
1 mo. agoBuy88¢142
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoSell88¢40
1 mo. agoBuy12¢42
1 mo. agoBuy13¢55
1 mo. agoBuy87¢23
1 mo. agoBuy13¢23
1 mo. agoSell15¢237
1 mo. agoBuy13¢8
1 mo. agoBuy13¢31
1 mo. agoBuy15¢13
1 mo. agoSell84¢184
1 mo. agoSell15¢83
1 mo. agoBuy15¢83
1 mo. agoBuy83¢66
1 mo. agoSell83¢16
1 mo. agoBuy17¢50
1 mo. agoBuy83¢102
1 mo. agoBuy17¢52
1 mo. agoSell83¢50
1 mo. agoSell80¢50
1 mo. agoSell20¢20
1 mo. agoSell20¢30
1 mo. agoSell75¢640
1 mo. agoBuy59¢43
1 mo. agoBuy60¢40
1 mo. agoBuy60¢50
1 mo. agoSell37¢50
1 mo. agoSell36¢40
1 mo. agoSell35¢16
1 mo. agoSell24¢5
1 mo. agoSell19¢10
1 mo. agoBuy82¢25
1 mo. agoBuy83¢200
1 mo. agoBuy84¢50

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.