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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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4 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −0.3%24h▼ −0.4%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$1.2K

24h vol.

$8.258

1w vol.

$17.238

1m vol.

$17.478

Liquidity

$14.9K

Bid / Ask

4¢ / 4¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Apr 24, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$127
4¢$200
3¢$100
3¢$40
2¢$50
1¢$33
1¢$50
1¢$34
1¢$58
1¢$83
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$16
5¢$200
5¢$137
6¢$100
6¢$98
6¢$200
20¢$20
22¢$20
25¢$50
62¢$679

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell5¢43
1 mo. agoBuy5¢36
1 mo. agoBuy5¢7
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢13
1 mo. agoBuy5¢7
1 mo. agoBuy95¢83
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢43
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoSell5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy94¢10
2 mo. agoBuy6¢9
2 mo. agoBuy6¢1
2 mo. agoBuy94¢40
2 mo. agoBuy6¢19
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢1
2 mo. agoBuy94¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
3 mo. agoSell95¢2
3 mo. agoSell5¢2
3 mo. agoSell3¢5
3 mo. agoBuy3¢0
3 mo. agoBuy3¢5
3 mo. agoSell4¢5
3 mo. agoBuy4¢5
4 mo. agoSell94¢2
4 mo. agoBuy94¢2
4 mo. agoSell93¢2
4 mo. agoBuy93¢2
4 mo. agoSell93¢2
4 mo. agoBuy93¢2
4 mo. agoSell93¢2
4 mo. agoBuy93¢2
4 mo. agoSell93¢22
4 mo. agoBuy93¢2
4 mo. agoBuy93¢20
5 mo. agoSell93¢22
5 mo. agoBuy93¢22
5 mo. agoSell93¢47
5 mo. agoBuy92¢5
5 mo. agoBuy93¢20
5 mo. agoBuy93¢22
5 mo. agoSell93¢32
5 mo. agoBuy93¢32
5 mo. agoSell93¢47
5 mo. agoBuy93¢15
5 mo. agoBuy93¢32

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.