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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
3 %
chance
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
46 outcomes- Jean-Luc Mélenchon94 %
- Marine Le Pen92 %
- Nathalie Arthaud87 %
- Fabien Roussel85 %
- Édouard Philippe85 %
- Raphaël Glucksmann84 %
- Éric Zemmour81 %
- David Lisnard78 %
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan69 %
- Bruno Retailleau58 %
- Dominique de Villepin31 %
- Marine Tondelier31 %
- François Hollande28 %
- Gabriel Attal27 %
- François Ruffin20 %
- Sarah Knafo18 %
- François Asselineau12 %
- Delphine Batho10 %
- Jordan Bardella8 %
- Xavier Bertrand7 %
- Élisabeth Borne7 %
- Juan Branco7 %
- Michel Barnier6 %
- Yaël Braun-Pivet6 %
- Jean-Michel Fauvergue6 %
- Olivier Faure6 %
- Teddy Riner6 %
- Bernard Cazeneuve6 %
- Jean Castex5 %
- Carole Delga5 %
- Sébastien Lecornu5 %
- François Bayrou5 %
- Matthieu Pigasse5 %
- Manuel Bompard5 %
- Karim Bouamrane5 %
- Philippe de Villiers5 %
- Michel-Edouard Leclerc5 %
- Mathilde Panot4 %
- Jérôme Guedj4 %
- Manuel Valls4 %
- Valérie Pécresse4 %
- Gérald Darmanin4 %
- Bally Bagayoko3 %
- Laurent Wauquiez3 %
- Ségolène Royal3 %
- Clémentine Autain3 %
Total volume
$21.6K
24h vol.
$1.18
1w vol.
$1.18
1m vol.
$21.159
Liquidity
$13.5K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Apr 22, 2026
End date
Apr 17, 2027
ends in 6 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 127 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 48 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 33 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 33 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 58 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 7 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 39 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 39 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 222 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 39 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 49 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 41 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 93 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 104 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 84 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 356 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 51 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 105 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 41 |
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Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.