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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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31 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 31¢No 69¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$13.4K

24h vol.

$100

1w vol.

$200

1m vol.

$2K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

30¢ / 32¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

31¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
24¢$298
23¢$740
22¢$282
20¢$44
15¢$250
13¢$20
10¢$131
8¢$30
7¢$175
6¢$971
Asks (sell)Size
25¢$211
26¢$159
27¢$336
28¢$255
29¢$193
30¢$414
31¢$100
34¢$300
35¢$88
36¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 46%Sells 54%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell24¢10
1 mo. agoSell76¢2
1 mo. agoSell76¢5
1 mo. agoSell76¢3
1 mo. agoSell75¢7
1 mo. agoBuy75¢7
1 mo. agoBuy76¢7
1 mo. agoSell76¢7
1 mo. agoBuy75¢10
1 mo. agoSell75¢5
1 mo. agoSell75¢5
1 mo. agoSell26¢100
1 mo. agoBuy26¢50
1 mo. agoBuy26¢50
1 mo. agoBuy28¢84
1 mo. agoSell28¢45
1 mo. agoBuy73¢5
1 mo. agoBuy73¢5
1 mo. agoBuy73¢5
1 mo. agoBuy73¢10
1 mo. agoBuy73¢14
1 mo. agoSell26¢39
1 mo. agoSell74¢39
1 mo. agoSell25¢20
1 mo. agoBuy25¢20
1 mo. agoSell26¢75
1 mo. agoBuy26¢20
1 mo. agoBuy26¢55
1 mo. agoSell73¢86
1 mo. agoBuy73¢86
1 mo. agoSell25¢50
1 mo. agoBuy25¢50
1 mo. agoSell24¢99
1 mo. agoBuy24¢3
1 mo. agoBuy24¢50
1 mo. agoSell76¢35
1 mo. agoSell76¢10
1 mo. agoSell25¢35
1 mo. agoBuy25¢10
1 mo. agoSell75¢20
1 mo. agoSell75¢5
1 mo. agoSell26¢134
1 mo. agoBuy26¢134
2 mo. agoSell75¢100
2 mo. agoBuy75¢3
2 mo. agoBuy75¢56
2 mo. agoBuy76¢42
2 mo. agoSell76¢200
2 mo. agoBuy76¢200
2 mo. agoBuy24¢4

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