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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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28 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 28¢No 73¢

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

46 outcomes

Total volume

$42K

24h vol.

$27.027

1w vol.

$1.4K

1m vol.

$16.5K

Liquidity

$31.8K

Bid / Ask

27¢ / 28¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

32¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Jul 1, 2027

ends in 8 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
29¢$128
28¢$217
27¢$540
25¢$100
24¢$437
23¢$180
22¢$15
21¢$10
20¢$998
15¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
32¢$127
33¢$748
34¢$380
35¢$70
40¢$100
49¢$1,125
50¢$500
58¢$1,000
62¢$819
86¢$800

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoSell29¢5
2 mo. agoSell71¢5
2 mo. agoSell69¢60
2 mo. agoBuy69¢36
2 mo. agoBuy70¢25
2 mo. agoBuy31¢500
2 mo. agoBuy69¢47
2 mo. agoSell31¢20
2 mo. agoBuy69¢20
2 mo. agoBuy69¢200
2 mo. agoBuy70¢60
2 mo. agoBuy70¢100
2 mo. agoBuy70¢53
2 mo. agoBuy30¢5
2 mo. agoBuy70¢5
2 mo. agoSell70¢20
2 mo. agoBuy70¢20
2 mo. agoSell29¢20
2 mo. agoBuy29¢20
2 mo. agoBuy70¢122
2 mo. agoBuy30¢20
2 mo. agoBuy30¢100
2 mo. agoSell69¢2
2 mo. agoBuy32¢13
2 mo. agoBuy68¢13
2 mo. agoSell31¢4
2 mo. agoSell69¢4
2 mo. agoBuy33¢30
2 mo. agoSell33¢30
3 mo. agoBuy69¢3
3 mo. agoSell69¢3
3 mo. agoBuy70¢378
3 mo. agoBuy30¢378
3 mo. agoSell70¢16
3 mo. agoBuy70¢11
3 mo. agoBuy70¢5
3 mo. agoBuy29¢16
3 mo. agoSell29¢16
3 mo. agoSell29¢40
3 mo. agoSell71¢40
3 mo. agoSell32¢5
3 mo. agoSell68¢5
3 mo. agoSell67¢30
3 mo. agoSell33¢30
3 mo. agoSell67¢50
3 mo. agoSell33¢50
3 mo. agoBuy69¢19
3 mo. agoBuy31¢19
3 mo. agoSell68¢20
3 mo. agoBuy68¢20

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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