Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

6 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$3.6K

24h vol.

$1.053

1w vol.

$41.053

1m vol.

$626.428

Liquidity

$12.3K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 7¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Apr 22, 2026

End date

Apr 18, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$327
6¢$215
5¢$50
4¢$231
3¢$1,295
2¢$4,050
1¢$46
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$351
9¢$400
10¢$20
11¢$84
12¢$150
15¢$100
58¢$24
59¢$105
60¢$5
61¢$88

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 67%Sells 33%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy8¢25
1 mo. agoBuy92¢25
1 mo. agoSell91¢26
1 mo. agoSell9¢26
1 mo. agoSell92¢26
1 mo. agoBuy92¢26
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoBuy92¢26
1 mo. agoSell8¢7
1 mo. agoSell8¢6
1 mo. agoSell8¢10
1 mo. agoSell92¢36
1 mo. agoSell8¢31
1 mo. agoSell8¢6
2 mo. agoBuy93¢5
2 mo. agoBuy7¢5
2 mo. agoSell7¢8
2 mo. agoBuy7¢8
2 mo. agoSell5¢8
2 mo. agoBuy5¢8
2 mo. agoBuy95¢40
2 mo. agoBuy5¢40
2 mo. agoSell5¢4
2 mo. agoBuy5¢4
2 mo. agoSell5¢91
2 mo. agoBuy5¢71
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoSell6¢28
2 mo. agoBuy6¢8
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoBuy92¢331
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢123
2 mo. agoBuy8¢43
2 mo. agoSell91¢60
2 mo. agoBuy10¢66
2 mo. agoBuy10¢20
2 mo. agoBuy86¢7
2 mo. agoBuy14¢7
2 mo. agoSell10¢27
2 mo. agoBuy10¢27
2 mo. agoSell9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢20
2 mo. agoBuy9¢7
2 mo. agoSell91¢13
2 mo. agoSell87¢40
2 mo. agoBuy87¢40
2 mo. agoSell10¢49
2 mo. agoSell91¢7

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.