Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations odds
18 independent outcomes · $16.9K traded · updated 9 hr. ago
Resolves Mar 15, 2027
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Wild Horse Nine92 %—$756.396
- The Debut89 %▲ +6.5%$412.173
- Club Kid63 %▲ +13.0%$2K
- Obsession57 %▼ −0.5%$546.681
- Fjord40 %▼ −11.5%$449.69
- Behemoth!22 %▲ +2.5%$479.03
- Elsinore22 %—$349.671
- Digger18 %—$1K
- The Drama15 %▼ −4.5%$3.8K
- Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma13 %—$306.468
- Josephine12 %▲ +2.5%$250
- The Invite4 %▼ −3.8%$595
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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