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Updated 3 hr. ago

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics
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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.1%24h▼ −1.8%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Next French Presidential Election

42 outcomes
See all 42 outcomes

Total volume

$2.6M

24h vol.

$34K

1w vol.

$192.7K

1m vol.

$654.2K

Liquidity

$195.5K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 13, 2025

End date

Apr 19, 2027

ends in 6 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$6,749
1¢$4,470
1¢$6,090
1¢$1,750
1¢$13,391
1¢$34,521
1¢$5,199
1¢$2,700
1¢$2,857
1¢$3,533
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$12,025
2¢$185
2¢$993
2¢$488
2¢$200
2¢$100
2¢$5,000
3¢$460
3¢$515
3¢$512

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 50%Sells 50%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 hr. agoSell2¢100
3 hr. agoBuy2¢100
3 hr. agoSell2¢500
3 hr. agoBuy2¢500
3 hr. agoSell2¢1,699
3 hr. agoBuy2¢1,599
3 hr. agoBuy2¢100
3 hr. agoSell2¢150
3 hr. agoBuy2¢150
3 hr. agoSell2¢150
3 hr. agoBuy2¢150
3 hr. agoSell2¢150
3 hr. agoBuy2¢150
3 hr. agoSell2¢150
3 hr. agoBuy2¢150
5 hr. agoSell98¢8
5 hr. agoSell2¢1
5 hr. agoSell2¢7
6 hr. agoBuy2¢4,203
6 hr. agoSell2¢100
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢100
6 hr. agoSell2¢100
6 hr. agoSell2¢100
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢500
6 hr. agoSell2¢100
6 hr. agoSell2¢100
6 hr. agoSell2¢13
6 hr. agoSell2¢90
7 hr. agoSell98¢10
7 hr. agoSell2¢10
10 hr. agoSell2¢60
10 hr. agoBuy2¢60
17 hr. agoBuy2¢4,705
17 hr. agoSell2¢500
17 hr. agoSell2¢100
17 hr. agoSell2¢2,000
17 hr. agoSell2¢2,000
17 hr. agoSell2¢5
17 hr. agoSell2¢100
18 hr. agoBuy2¢500
18 hr. agoSell2¢100
18 hr. agoSell2¢100
18 hr. agoSell2¢100
18 hr. agoSell2¢100

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