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Updated 18 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.4%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 12 buys, 38 sells; the largest was $100 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$15.8K

24h vol.

$10.7K

Liquidity

$8.2K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$15.8K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$359
1¢$473
0¢$904
0¢$1,410
0¢$3,870
0¢$24,950
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$100
1¢$1,717
1¢$211
1¢$15
1¢$115
1¢$289
1¢$385
2¢$200
2¢$193
2¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 71%Sells 29%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
30 min. agoBuy1¢263
1 hr. agoSell1¢324
2 hr. agoSell1¢300
2 hr. agoSell1¢200
2 hr. agoSell1¢200
2 hr. agoSell1¢595
2 hr. agoSell1¢5
3 hr. agoSell1¢200
4 hr. agoBuy1¢200
4 hr. agoBuy1¢92
5 hr. agoBuy1¢1,000
5 hr. agoSell1¢1
5 hr. agoSell1¢100
5 hr. agoBuy1¢2,799
6 hr. agoBuy1¢210
6 hr. agoBuy1¢200
6 hr. agoBuy1¢1,499
10 hr. agoBuy1¢300
10 hr. agoSell0¢100
12 hr. agoBuy0¢1,000
14 hr. agoSell0¢139
14 hr. agoSell0¢75
17 hr. agoBuy0¢324
21 hr. agoSell0¢24
22 hr. agoSell0¢49
22 hr. agoSell0¢98
22 hr. agoSell0¢400
1 day agoSell0¢40
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢11
1 day agoSell0¢60
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢6
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢9
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoBuy0¢276
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢200
1 day agoSell0¢12
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢23
1 day agoSell0¢30
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢15
1 day agoSell0¢17
1 day agoSell0¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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