Skip to content

← Politics odds

Updated 1 hr. ago

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 1 buys, 49 sells; the largest was $2.38K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$11.8K

24h vol.

$5.8K

Liquidity

$6.3K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$11.8K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$954
0¢$743
0¢$539
0¢$35
1¢$135
1¢$20
1¢$120
1¢$200
1¢$218
1¢$10

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 5%Sells 95%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 hr. agoSell0¢14
5 hr. agoSell0¢2,378
6 hr. agoSell0¢20
7 hr. agoSell0¢100
8 hr. agoSell0¢27
10 hr. agoSell0¢347
11 hr. agoSell0¢600
12 hr. agoSell0¢30
13 hr. agoSell0¢390
15 hr. agoSell0¢32
16 hr. agoSell0¢21
17 hr. agoSell0¢35
17 hr. agoSell0¢40
18 hr. agoSell0¢826
18 hr. agoSell0¢42
18 hr. agoSell0¢62
19 hr. agoSell0¢100
20 hr. agoSell0¢100
20 hr. agoSell0¢100
21 hr. agoSell0¢100
21 hr. agoSell0¢100
22 hr. agoSell0¢100
22 hr. agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢40
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢11
1 day agoSell0¢60
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢6
1 day agoSell0¢9
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢12
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢23
1 day agoSell0¢30
1 day agoBuy0¢339
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢15
1 day agoSell0¢17
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢42
1 day agoSell0¢50
1 day agoSell0¢12
1 day agoSell0¢8
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

Related markets

Open Politics markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring