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Updated 33 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.3%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $99 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 outcomes
See all 30 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$29.6K

24h vol.

$14.3K

Liquidity

$10.1K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$29.6K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$100
1¢$100
1¢$577
1¢$374
1¢$524
1¢$350
1¢$146
1¢$10
1¢$80
1¢$559
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$100
2¢$10
2¢$79
2¢$100
2¢$67
2¢$269
3¢$200
3¢$47
3¢$100
3¢$806

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell2¢50
2 hr. agoSell1¢14
2 hr. agoSell2¢20
2 hr. agoSell2¢200
2 hr. agoSell2¢70
2 hr. agoSell2¢50
2 hr. agoSell2¢50
2 hr. agoSell2¢50
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
3 hr. agoSell2¢50
3 hr. agoSell2¢109
3 hr. agoBuy2¢20
3 hr. agoSell2¢699
3 hr. agoSell2¢20
3 hr. agoSell2¢54
3 hr. agoBuy3¢74
4 hr. agoBuy2¢102
4 hr. agoBuy2¢300
4 hr. agoBuy2¢2
4 hr. agoBuy2¢256
4 hr. agoBuy2¢200
5 hr. agoBuy1¢253
6 hr. agoBuy1¢37
6 hr. agoBuy1¢1,250
6 hr. agoBuy1¢500
6 hr. agoBuy1¢100
6 hr. agoBuy1¢100
6 hr. agoBuy1¢100
6 hr. agoBuy1¢1,000
6 hr. agoBuy1¢400
7 hr. agoBuy1¢100
11 hr. agoBuy1¢687
11 hr. agoSell1¢21
11 hr. agoSell1¢290
11 hr. agoSell1¢145
11 hr. agoSell1¢88
11 hr. agoSell1¢20
11 hr. agoSell1¢380
12 hr. agoSell1¢100
12 hr. agoSell1¢100
12 hr. agoSell1¢50
12 hr. agoSell1¢37
12 hr. agoSell1¢50
12 hr. agoSell1¢300
13 hr. agoSell1¢74
16 hr. agoBuy1¢100
17 hr. agoBuy1¢100
17 hr. agoBuy1¢1,700
17 hr. agoBuy1¢1,000
17 hr. agoBuy1¢1,500
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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