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Updated 4 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 1 buys, 49 sells; the largest was $1.55K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$14.3K

24h vol.

$7.4K

Liquidity

$10.9K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$14.3K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$18,459
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$2,065
0¢$546
0¢$129
1¢$235
1¢$35
1¢$20
1¢$625
1¢$724
1¢$300
2¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 4%Sells 96%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 hr. agoSell0¢20
5 hr. agoSell0¢2,378
6 hr. agoSell0¢20
6 hr. agoSell0¢524
7 hr. agoSell0¢100
7 hr. agoSell0¢20
8 hr. agoBuy0¢362
8 hr. agoSell0¢38
9 hr. agoSell0¢139
9 hr. agoSell0¢75
9 hr. agoSell0¢1,552
11 hr. agoSell0¢911
12 hr. agoSell0¢30
13 hr. agoSell0¢304
14 hr. agoSell0¢30
15 hr. agoSell0¢58
15 hr. agoSell0¢24
16 hr. agoSell0¢45
17 hr. agoSell0¢75
17 hr. agoSell0¢88
18 hr. agoSell0¢94
18 hr. agoSell0¢100
19 hr. agoSell0¢100
20 hr. agoSell0¢100
21 hr. agoSell0¢26
22 hr. agoSell0¢51
22 hr. agoSell0¢100
1 day agoSell0¢40
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢352
1 day agoSell0¢11
1 day agoSell0¢80
1 day agoSell0¢60
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢6
1 day agoSell0¢5
1 day agoSell0¢9
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢20
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢12
1 day agoSell0¢16
1 day agoSell0¢23
1 day agoSell1¢20
1 day agoSell1¢20
1 day agoSell1¢20
1 day agoSell1¢17
1 day agoSell1¢15
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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