Updated 4 days ago
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?
7 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 5.0 pp in the last 24 hours.
- Last 14 trades: 11 buys, 3 sells; the largest was $93 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
Result by email
Find out how it ends
One email when this market resolves. No account needed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
30 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$12K
24h vol.
$4.4K
Liquidity
$7.2K
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 6 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$12K
Bid / Ask
6¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
6¢
Start date
Nov 7, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (14)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 11 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 79 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 0 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 35 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 11 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 18 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 16 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 35 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 30 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 100 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
- Event:
- Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
- Resolution source:
- https://x.com/elonmusk
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
Related markets
Open Politics markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?15 %▲ +12.2%
- Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?25 %▲ +6.5%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?28 %▲ +8.5%
- Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?60 %▲ +3.5%
- Will Trump insult Hegseth by December 31?8 %▼ −6.5%
- Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?14 %▼ −1.5%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.