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Updated 3 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

1 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▼ −1.8%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 7 buys, 43 sells; the largest was $487 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 outcomes
See all 30 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$12.9K

24h vol.

$6.4K

Liquidity

$5.3K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$12.9K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$200
1¢$220
1¢$1,579
1¢$880
0¢$2,222
0¢$41,367
0¢$10,211
0¢$30,982
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$548
1¢$10
1¢$9
2¢$85
2¢$9
2¢$69
2¢$79
2¢$51
3¢$45
3¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 6%Sells 94%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell1¢31
2 hr. agoBuy1¢100
2 hr. agoSell1¢67
3 hr. agoSell1¢100
3 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell1¢100
4 hr. agoSell2¢100
4 hr. agoBuy2¢84
4 hr. agoBuy1¢21
5 hr. agoBuy1¢100
5 hr. agoSell1¢5
6 hr. agoBuy1¢5
6 hr. agoBuy1¢100
8 hr. agoBuy1¢100
9 hr. agoSell1¢23
12 hr. agoSell1¢25
12 hr. agoSell1¢5
12 hr. agoSell1¢50
12 hr. agoSell1¢30
12 hr. agoSell2¢260
13 hr. agoSell2¢40
13 hr. agoSell2¢35
13 hr. agoSell2¢139
13 hr. agoSell3¢2,536
17 hr. agoSell3¢131
17 hr. agoSell3¢500
18 hr. agoSell3¢100
19 hr. agoSell3¢141
19 hr. agoSell3¢200
20 hr. agoSell3¢20
21 hr. agoSell3¢31
21 hr. agoSell3¢336
22 hr. agoSell3¢62
22 hr. agoSell3¢100
22 hr. agoSell3¢500
23 hr. agoSell3¢10
23 hr. agoSell3¢114
1 day agoSell3¢10
1 day agoSell3¢500
1 day agoSell3¢40
1 day agoSell3¢5
1 day agoSell3¢200
1 day agoSell3¢11
1 day agoSell3¢80
1 day agoSell3¢60
1 day agoSell3¢20
1 day agoSell3¢20
1 day agoSell3¢100
1 day agoSell3¢652
1 day agoSell3¢111
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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