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Updated 3 days ago

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

0 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 23 trades: 0 buys, 23 sells; the largest was $4.96K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$21.1K

24h vol.

$5.4K

Liquidity

$8.1K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$21.1K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$38,009
0¢$2,632
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$155
1¢$474
1¢$1,467
1¢$399
1¢$400
1¢$115
1¢$76
2¢$72
2¢$52
2¢$45

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (23)

Buys 0%Sells 100%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoSell0¢729
4 days agoSell1¢144
4 days agoSell1¢206
4 days agoSell1¢410
4 days agoSell1¢144
4 days agoSell1¢400
4 days agoSell1¢204
4 days agoSell1¢317
4 days agoSell1¢5
4 days agoSell1¢7
4 days agoSell1¢5
4 days agoSell1¢9
4 days agoSell1¢9
4 days agoSell1¢5
4 days agoSell1¢10
4 days agoSell1¢5
4 days agoSell1¢1,338
4 days agoSell1¢409
4 days agoSell1¢5,000
4 days agoSell1¢1,002
5 days agoSell1¢100
5 days agoSell1¢35
5 days agoSell1¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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