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Updated 5 hr. ago

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

9 %

chance

▼ −6.0%24h
Yes 9¢No 92¢

Market brief

  • Down 6.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 15% on Nov 10, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 8 buys, 42 sells; the largest was $156 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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50%
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$13.8K

24h vol.

$5K

Liquidity

$7.5K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$13.8K

Bid / Ask

8¢ / 9¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$497
7¢$486
6¢$931
5¢$2,057
4¢$883
3¢$34,056
2¢$1,100
1¢$3,085
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$1,058
10¢$415
11¢$343
12¢$901
13¢$205
14¢$1,126
15¢$338
16¢$230
17¢$105
18¢$298

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 11%Sells 89%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 hr. agoSell8¢33
7 hr. agoBuy9¢60
7 hr. agoBuy9¢105
8 hr. agoBuy9¢157
8 hr. agoSell8¢223
9 hr. agoSell8¢50
9 hr. agoSell9¢145
10 hr. agoSell10¢16
11 hr. agoSell10¢116
11 hr. agoSell9¢51
12 hr. agoBuy10¢32
12 hr. agoBuy10¢32
12 hr. agoBuy10¢33
12 hr. agoBuy10¢85
12 hr. agoSell9¢30
12 hr. agoSell10¢1
12 hr. agoSell11¢1,420
12 hr. agoSell11¢50
12 hr. agoSell11¢67
19 hr. agoSell12¢20
20 hr. agoSell12¢20
20 hr. agoSell12¢20
21 hr. agoBuy13¢13
21 hr. agoSell13¢44
22 hr. agoSell13¢100
22 hr. agoSell13¢86
22 hr. agoSell13¢100
23 hr. agoSell13¢100
1 day agoSell13¢40
1 day agoSell13¢5
1 day agoSell13¢11
1 day agoSell13¢80
1 day agoSell13¢60
1 day agoSell14¢75
1 day agoSell13¢20
1 day agoSell14¢20
1 day agoSell14¢5
1 day agoSell14¢6
1 day agoSell14¢5
1 day agoSell14¢9
1 day agoSell14¢139
1 day agoSell14¢705
1 day agoSell14¢20
1 day agoSell14¢10
1 day agoSell14¢35
1 day agoSell14¢20
1 day agoSell14¢16
1 day agoSell15¢20
1 day agoSell15¢60
1 day agoSell14¢12
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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