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Updated 18 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

2 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▼ −2.2%24h
Yes 2¢No 98¢
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Market brief

  • At 2%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 2.1 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 6% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 11 buys, 39 sells; the largest was $2.85K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 outcomes
See all 30 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$20.7K

24h vol.

$6.8K

Liquidity

$5.3K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$20.7K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$9
1¢$29
1¢$299
1¢$150
1¢$539
1¢$666
1¢$200
1¢$220
1¢$3,050
0¢$50,890
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$171
2¢$121
2¢$59
2¢$9
2¢$51
3¢$9
3¢$45
3¢$41
3¢$37
4¢$110

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 11%Sells 89%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoSell2¢5
3 hr. agoSell2¢69
4 hr. agoSell2¢400
4 hr. agoSell2¢100
4 hr. agoBuy2¢49
4 hr. agoBuy2¢52
4 hr. agoBuy2¢100
4 hr. agoBuy2¢59
4 hr. agoBuy2¢66
5 hr. agoBuy2¢100
5 hr. agoBuy2¢100
5 hr. agoSell2¢104
5 hr. agoSell2¢46
7 hr. agoBuy3¢46
8 hr. agoBuy2¢21
8 hr. agoBuy2¢5
8 hr. agoSell2¢100
8 hr. agoBuy2¢239
9 hr. agoSell2¢51
10 hr. agoSell2¢25
11 hr. agoSell2¢96
12 hr. agoSell2¢5
12 hr. agoSell2¢150
12 hr. agoSell2¢30
13 hr. agoSell3¢36
13 hr. agoSell3¢139
13 hr. agoSell4¢2,957
13 hr. agoSell3¢39
13 hr. agoSell4¢63
17 hr. agoSell4¢62
18 hr. agoSell4¢100
19 hr. agoSell4¢73
19 hr. agoSell4¢69
20 hr. agoSell4¢200
20 hr. agoSell4¢20
21 hr. agoSell4¢73
21 hr. agoSell4¢33
22 hr. agoSell4¢66
22 hr. agoSell4¢100
22 hr. agoSell4¢500
22 hr. agoSell4¢286
1 day agoSell4¢10
1 day agoSell4¢500
1 day agoSell4¢40
1 day agoSell4¢5
1 day agoSell4¢11
1 day agoSell4¢80
1 day agoSell4¢60
1 day agoSell4¢20
1 day agoSell4¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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