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Updated 1 day ago

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

10 %

chance

▼ −4.5%24h
Yes 10¢No 91¢
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Market brief

  • Down 4.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 16% on Nov 8, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $60 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$22.4K

24h vol.

$4K

Liquidity

$7K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$22.4K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
14¢$997
13¢$835
12¢$558
11¢$135
10¢$51
9¢$222
8¢$310
7¢$403
6¢$333
5¢$400
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$49
16¢$314
17¢$864
18¢$427
19¢$382
20¢$554
21¢$230
24¢$113
25¢$512
26¢$372

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoSell14¢26
1 day agoSell14¢33
1 day agoBuy15¢31
1 day agoSell14¢20
1 day agoSell14¢10
1 day agoSell14¢9
1 day agoBuy16¢30
1 day agoSell13¢40
1 day agoBuy15¢7
2 days agoSell14¢20
2 days agoSell14¢10
2 days agoSell14¢20
2 days agoSell14¢47
2 days agoSell14¢20
2 days agoSell14¢1
2 days agoBuy15¢32
2 days agoSell14¢64
2 days agoSell14¢10
2 days agoBuy15¢7
2 days agoBuy15¢7
2 days agoBuy15¢340
2 days agoSell14¢32
2 days agoSell14¢32
2 days agoSell14¢30
2 days agoSell14¢60
2 days agoSell14¢8
2 days agoSell14¢30
2 days agoSell14¢36
2 days agoSell14¢5
2 days agoSell14¢30
2 days agoSell14¢27
2 days agoSell14¢15
2 days agoSell14¢13
2 days agoSell14¢6
2 days agoSell14¢7
2 days agoBuy14¢136
2 days agoSell13¢35
2 days agoSell13¢32
2 days agoSell13¢20
2 days agoBuy14¢14
2 days agoSell13¢10
2 days agoBuy14¢170
2 days agoBuy13¢19
2 days agoBuy12¢56
2 days agoSell11¢8
2 days agoSell11¢7
2 days agoSell11¢22
2 days agoBuy12¢500
2 days agoBuy13¢214
2 days agoBuy12¢225
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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