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Updated 3 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

10 %

chance

▲ +1.2%1h▲ +6.8%24h
Yes 10¢No 90¢

Market brief

  • Up 6.8 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 2% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 25 buys, 25 sells; the largest was $100 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$13.6K

24h vol.

$6.5K

Liquidity

$6.5K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$13.6K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 11¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

11¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$50
10¢$929
10¢$13
10¢$11
10¢$79
9¢$19
9¢$165
9¢$52
9¢$53
8¢$258
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$4
11¢$19
11¢$67
11¢$158
11¢$59
11¢$37
11¢$11
12¢$50
12¢$7
12¢$25

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
8 min. agoSell10¢50
19 min. agoBuy11¢140
25 min. agoBuy10¢79
25 min. agoBuy10¢646
25 min. agoBuy10¢50
25 min. agoBuy10¢0
2 hr. agoSell8¢20
2 hr. agoSell8¢35
2 hr. agoSell9¢45
2 hr. agoSell9¢50
2 hr. agoSell9¢41
2 hr. agoBuy9¢9
3 hr. agoBuy9¢13
3 hr. agoSell9¢27
3 hr. agoSell9¢171
3 hr. agoSell8¢50
3 hr. agoSell9¢50
3 hr. agoSell9¢17
4 hr. agoBuy9¢91
4 hr. agoBuy9¢50
4 hr. agoBuy8¢359
4 hr. agoBuy9¢50
4 hr. agoBuy8¢18
4 hr. agoSell8¢68
4 hr. agoBuy8¢19
4 hr. agoBuy8¢20
4 hr. agoBuy8¢12
4 hr. agoBuy8¢21
5 hr. agoBuy8¢13
5 hr. agoBuy8¢14
5 hr. agoBuy8¢14
5 hr. agoBuy8¢15
6 hr. agoBuy8¢16
6 hr. agoSell8¢30
8 hr. agoSell7¢100
8 hr. agoSell8¢30
9 hr. agoSell8¢21
10 hr. agoBuy7¢400
10 hr. agoBuy8¢50
12 hr. agoSell7¢28
12 hr. agoSell6¢40
12 hr. agoSell6¢50
12 hr. agoSell6¢50
12 hr. agoSell6¢39
12 hr. agoSell6¢50
12 hr. agoSell6¢107
12 hr. agoSell6¢9
13 hr. agoBuy6¢239
13 hr. agoSell6¢131
14 hr. agoBuy5¢15
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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