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Updated 18 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

6 %

chance

▲ +0.7%1h▲ +3.5%24h
Yes 6¢No 94¢
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Market brief

  • Up 3.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 1% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 26 buys, 24 sells; the largest was $95 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 7% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (399 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$16.1K

24h vol.

$8.8K

Liquidity

$6.5K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$16.1K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$50
5¢$200
5¢$505
5¢$95
5¢$49
5¢$30
4¢$102
4¢$100
4¢$29
4¢$31
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$20
6¢$60
6¢$40
6¢$7
7¢$57
7¢$43
7¢$150
8¢$51
8¢$32
8¢$58

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 38%Sells 62%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell5¢70
2 hr. agoSell4¢50
2 hr. agoSell5¢50
2 hr. agoSell5¢50
2 hr. agoSell5¢929
2 hr. agoSell5¢50
2 hr. agoSell6¢32
2 hr. agoBuy6¢70
2 hr. agoSell6¢297
2 hr. agoSell7¢50
2 hr. agoSell6¢5
2 hr. agoBuy8¢300
2 hr. agoBuy8¢50
3 hr. agoSell7¢70
3 hr. agoBuy5¢8
3 hr. agoBuy5¢18
3 hr. agoBuy5¢19
3 hr. agoBuy5¢46
3 hr. agoSell6¢221
3 hr. agoSell5¢50
3 hr. agoSell7¢21
3 hr. agoSell7¢21
3 hr. agoSell7¢31
3 hr. agoSell7¢61
4 hr. agoSell7¢60
4 hr. agoBuy7¢212
4 hr. agoBuy6¢1
4 hr. agoBuy6¢18
4 hr. agoBuy6¢19
4 hr. agoBuy6¢20
4 hr. agoBuy6¢21
4 hr. agoBuy6¢22
5 hr. agoBuy6¢12
6 hr. agoBuy5¢18
6 hr. agoBuy5¢91
6 hr. agoSell5¢77
6 hr. agoSell5¢100
6 hr. agoSell5¢100
6 hr. agoSell5¢100
6 hr. agoBuy5¢123
6 hr. agoBuy5¢24
6 hr. agoBuy5¢24
7 hr. agoBuy5¢100
7 hr. agoBuy5¢100
7 hr. agoBuy5¢200
8 hr. agoSell4¢200
10 hr. agoBuy5¢22
10 hr. agoBuy4¢84
10 hr. agoSell4¢36
10 hr. agoBuy4¢50
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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