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Updated 2 days ago

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

1 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▼ −0.9%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 8 buys, 42 sells; the largest was $1.97K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?

30 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$15.6K

24h vol.

$5K

Liquidity

$5.6K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$15.6K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$62
2¢$169
2¢$93
2¢$280
2¢$800
1¢$2,612
1¢$417
1¢$455
1¢$500
1¢$556
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$30
2¢$11
3¢$63
3¢$10
3¢$95
3¢$257
3¢$95
3¢$67
4¢$100
4¢$100

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 13%Sells 87%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell2¢22
2 days agoSell2¢53
2 days agoSell2¢30
2 days agoBuy2¢503
2 days agoBuy2¢123
2 days agoSell2¢124
2 days agoSell2¢84
2 days agoSell2¢20
2 days agoSell2¢40
2 days agoBuy2¢41
2 days agoSell1¢40
2 days agoSell1¢100
3 days agoSell2¢12
3 days agoSell1¢3,451
3 days agoSell1¢17
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢300
3 days agoSell1¢300
3 days agoSell1¢2,000
3 days agoBuy2¢20
3 days agoBuy2¢31
3 days agoSell1¢80
3 days agoSell2¢59
3 days agoSell2¢20
3 days agoBuy2¢103
3 days agoSell1¢45
3 days agoSell1¢19
3 days agoSell1¢14
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢49
3 days agoSell1¢30
3 days agoSell1¢7
3 days agoSell1¢3
3 days agoSell1¢3
3 days agoSell1¢26
3 days agoSell1¢12
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢7
3 days agoSell1¢15
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢6
3 days agoBuy1¢225
3 days agoBuy1¢55
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢21
3 days agoSell1¢20
3 days agoSell1¢59
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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