Updated 4 days ago
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026?
4 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 5.7 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 7% on Nov 7, 2026.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (602 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
30 outcomesUnderstand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$8.9K
24h vol.
$4.2K
Liquidity
$5.9K
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 6 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$8.9K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 4¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Nov 7, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 100 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 35 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 100 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 10 12:00 PM ET to November 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
- Event:
- Elon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?
- Resolution source:
- https://x.com/elonmusk
- Note:
- Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).
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