Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026 odds
19 independent outcomes · $509K traded · updated 9 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Harry Kane97 %▼ −0.1%$139.3K
- Lamine Yamal92 %▼ −1.3%$66K
- Kylian Mbappé79 %▲ +2.0%$98K
- Lionel Messi21 %▼ −2.0%$48.5K
- Rodri11 %—$19.5K
- Ousmane Dembélé5 %—$17.7K
- Michael Olise5 %▼ −2.4%$23.2K
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia5 %▼ −1.4%$32K
- Fabian Ruiz5 %▲ +0.3%$46.3K
- Erling Haaland3 %▼ −0.4%$6.9K
- Vitinha3 %▲ +1.7%$165.99
- Achraf Hakimi2 %▼ −0.3%$93.35
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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