Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 odds
19 independent outcomes · $184.3K traded · updated 6 days ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Harry Kane99 %▲ +0.1%$3.8K
- Lamine Yamal97 %▼ −0.1%$10.1K
- Kylian Mbappé92 %▼ −2.0%$17.8K
- Rodri69 %▲ +8.5%$11.7K
- Lionel Messi68 %▲ +1.5%$27.3K
- Michael Olise38 %▼ −1.5%$13.7K
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia32 %▼ −1.5%$21.2K
- Ousmane Dembélé18 %—$11.2K
- Fabian Ruiz14 %▼ −2.5%$23.5K
- Erling Haaland10 %—$5.7K
- Declan Rice9 %▲ +5.8%$9.9K
- Jude Bellingham5 %▼ −0.9%$1K
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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